Baseline Florida Loading
General election · Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Who shows up decides Florida.

Set the partisan makeup of the electorate and every race on the ballot moves with it, from governor to the state House. On election night, each county's live count is checked against where it should be.

Governor · projected under your electorate
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How each party votes

Early vote

Ballots already cast by mail and in person, by the voter's party registration.

The electorate, then and now

Each bar is the share of ballots cast by party registration. The dashed bar is the electorate you set above.

DemocratsRepublicansNPA & minor parties

Ballots cast

Active registered voters

Statewide races

Each race is projected from the same electorate, shifted by how its polling differs from the governor's race. Live counts replace the projection as they come in.

Amendments

A constitutional amendment needs 60% of the vote to pass.

Every seat

Each square is a district, ordered from most Democratic to most Republican. Districts swing with your electorate from the baseline you chose. An outline marks a projected change of party; stripes mark a seat only one party is contesting.

County by county

Where each county should land under your electorate, and where it is as votes are counted. Swing is the live margin minus the county's baseline.

Polls and forecasts

Governor polling average

Forecaster ratings

Recent polls